$9,650: Bitcoin Price Dips Below Key Long-Term Support



  • Bitcoin has dipped beneath the 100-day moving average, potentially opening the doors to support near $8,500 if the bulls can’t keep prices above the MA.
  • Total weekly volume for the bears is lower than expected, offering a small hope for a bullish rebound.
  • Price would need a firm close above the 100-day MA in hopes of cementing a higher low relative to July 28’s dip low.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to tumble from temporary support levels at $10,000 after enduring its in a month.

At 06:15 UTC, BTC’s price pierced the 100-day moving average (MA) at $9,653, triggering a flurry of sell-orders as the mid-term trend switched from bullish-to-bearish.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has since recovered slightly and at time of writing is changing hands at $9,800 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.4 percent loss on the day.

Bearish market sentiment echoed throughout the world today as the international stock markets fell across the board with the S&P 500 down 2.9 percent, while the FTSE 100 in the UK dropped by 1.42 percent.

That would seem to dispell the notion that BTC acts as a safe haven asset, offering certainty during darker economic time.

Regardless, the onus is now heavily on the bulls to regain a foothold back above the 100-day MA on the daily chart or risk further downside.

Daily chart

$9,650: Bitcoin Price Dips Below Key Long-Term Support

As can be viewed above, the symmetrical triangle breakdown is well underway after BTC’s price temporarily stalled along the 100-day MA at $9,652.

The bearish move is being supported by a histogram tick down on the (AO) on the daily chart as it heads toward the neutral zero line, while the RSI fell bearish below 50 on August 13.

A failure by the bulls to close back above the key long-term moving average will undoubtedly spur further bearish pressure exposing lower weekly supports.

Weekly chart

$9,650: Bitcoin Price Dips Below Key Long-Term Support

A Fibonacci retracement drawn from 2018’s peak low at $3,122 to 2019’s peak high at $13,880 shows $8,501 to be the most likely landing zone in the coming week should its price close beneath the 100-day MA and July 22’s prior bearish weekly close at $9,533.

Total weekly volume may offer some hope for the bulls as it’s currently tracking worse than July 22’s levels when the price of BTC rebounded from a low of $9,111 to a high of $11,085 as a result of weakening bearish momentum.

Falling price alongside limited volume usually points toward bear exhaustion, and may offer up a reversal and a new higher low above July 22’s dip low.

That outlook will be determined by the end of the weekly closing period on August 18.

Disclosure: This author holds no cryptocurrency at the time of writing.

image via Shutterstock; charts via TradingView


The author CoinON